Estimating Calories From Weight Loss

Hi Jordan,

I have a question about estimating dietary calorie intake. I believe I am measuring my food accurately (digital scale, mostly single ingredient foods, myfitness pal etc). I have recently been trying to lose the “Covid-19” by restricting my calories to 1600 kcal / day. I’ve been at this for 5 weeks. The diet, combined with 30 minutes of daily LISS and 2-3 sessions of weights per week has resulted in an average weekly weight loss of 2.4lbs. Overall, I’m totally happy with that, and feel that I can keep it up for a few more weeks without too much suffering.

However, when I look at the bodyweight planner like the one from the National Institute of Diabetes, they indicate 1600 daily calories should be driving about 3.5 lbs of weight loss per week. I believe you have also indicated to other folks who assume they are eating low calories (like 1500-1600 for a 215 lb male in his thirties) that they are probably not in fact eating that little. Granted, these posters are often also reporting stagnant bodyweights and I am seeing substantial losses.

Would your best guess be that I am in fact, eating more than 1600 per day, or is it entirely plausible that I am eating close to 1600, and bodyweight planners are just estimates that I am pretty damn close to anyway.

Why is it so hard to measure calories accurately in your opinion? I would love to know the biggest errors people make. For instance, I have always measured cooked meat rather than raw until seeing you call that a large source of measurement error.

Thanks!
J

I think both cases are equally likely, as it tends to take a much longer time to fully realize the weight loss potential of a given energy intake (months-years).

I think that it’s fairly easy to measure intake in a precise manner, but the accuracy requires meticulous use of a scale, USDA food database, measuring condiments, gum, etc. for days to weeks on end. Most people are probably off by a hundred Cals or more when they’re measuring things, which is manageable provided it’s consistent.

Hey Jordan,

Hope you don’t mind if I jump in here.

Could you kindly elaborate on this comment, as I am not sure I understand what you mean?

I think both cases are equally likely, as it tends to take a much longer time to fully realize the weight loss potential of a given energy intake (months-years).

I’ve been in a weight loss phase and counting calories for 11 weeks now (started at 89kg; 186cm; now at about 81kg):

  • First 5 weeks: 1550 - 1600 Kcal; 0.8 kg / week avg loss
  • Next 2 weeks: 1800 Kcal; still 0.85 kg / week avg loss
  • Next 2 weeks: 2000 Kcal; still 0.85 kg / week avg loss
  • Previous week: 2200 Kcal; 0.3 kg / week loss

The day I started the diet I also started training again (beginner template, and now Powerbuilding I).

I’ve been tracking my weight by averaging over the week as recommended and have been measuring everything I eat as accurately as possible (scale, raw or cooked/raw ratio), with only 2 small cheat meals during the entire 11 weeks.

Interesting to me that I was only losing 0.8 kg / week at 1600 Kcal. Could that be because of some kind of initial recomp phase due to training and therefore maybe putting on some muscle as well?

Thanks in advance,
Matteo

Probably more water fluctuations than anything else, as it’s not like you lose less weight when gaining muscle on a given deficit.